Cerva GD vs Regua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerva GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ABA
2 - 0
CER
25%
22%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CER
2 - 2
SCV
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
CER
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CER
5 - 0
SAB
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MES
2 - 4
CER
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
REG
2 - 0
RIB
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 6
REG
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
REG
1 - 4
MON
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NOU
0 - 1
REG
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ABA
3 - 0
REG
20%
21%
60%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -2 |