Cerro de Reyes vs Extremadura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 0
CER
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CER
0 - 2
ULP
20%
25%
55%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
COX
2 - 0
CER
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CER
0 - 2
RMC
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RVB
2 - 0
CER
56%
25%
19%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
EXT
3 - 1
DEP
32%
26%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
EXT
70%
20%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GET
4 - 0
EXT
59%
24%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
EXT
1 - 2
CEL
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ULP
1 - 0
EXT
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |