Cerro Porteño vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
6º
6º
17
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
CCP
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 1
JLM
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 2
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 0
CCP
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 4
AME
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
TAC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 3
LQE
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
2DE
2 - 1
TAC
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
AME
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |