Cerro Porteño vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1990 |
CCP
1 - 1
VAS
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1990 |
CCP
3 - 1
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
3 - 2
BOL
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
1 - 0
OPE
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 1
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1990 |
OLI
1 - 0
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
CRZ
3 - 0
OLI
43%
29%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
CRZ
53%
27%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |