Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 1
IND
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CCP
4 - 0
RÑU
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 2
CCP
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
DEP
54%
22%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 0
LIB
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
ATM
34%
26%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 2
GOD
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
LIB
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |