Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
12O
0 - 0
CCP
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
SPO
0 - 3
CCP
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
CCP
3 - 3
LQE
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
LIB
0 - 2
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
LIB
2 - 0
AME
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
SPC
3 - 4
LIB
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 1
12O
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |