Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 0
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
CCP
1 - 4
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CCP
0 - 0
LQE
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CCP
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
CCP
0 - 0
TOL
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
NAC
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
RÑU
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
GEN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |