PF Cerro Por. vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
LQE
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CER
70%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
RÑU
3 - 3
NAC
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |