PF Cerro Por. vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 2
CER
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 2
CER
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
CER
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CER
2 - 2
OLI
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
32%
29%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 2
CAR
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |