Cerro Largo vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
REN
0 - 0
CEL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HFC
1 - 1
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 1
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ATE
2 - 0
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CEL
4 - 1
PLA
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 3
CSC
22%
25%
52%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CSC
1 - 1
BOS
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CSC
2 - 2
ROC
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 0
CSC
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CSC
0 - 1
DEP
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |