A. Cerro Águila vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 2
SOL
33%
25%
41%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SOL
2 - 1
MON
47%
25%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
DHE
0 - 3
SOL
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SOL
1 - 0
CAS
57%
23%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CAM
1 - 1
SOL
26%
26%
49%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NER
2 - 2
ANT
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
NER
2 - 3
PAR
25%
24%
51%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MON
3 - 1
NER
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
NER
2 - 1
DHE
18%
24%
59%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | +4 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 0
NER
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |