Cerrito vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CSC
1 - 2
LFC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MWA
3 - 1
CSC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FEN
3 - 1
CSC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CSC
1 - 0
REN
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CSC
0 - 0
CEL
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
JUN
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
MWA
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LFC
3 - 0
PEÑ
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CER
0 - 0
PEÑ
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |