Cerrito vs Miramar Misiones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
8º
54
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 3
DEF
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 2
CSC
65%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 6
UMO
28%
29%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
CSC
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
CSC
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Miramar Misiones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
CSM
0 - 0
MWA
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 0
POT
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BVS
0 - 1
CSM
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CSM
0 - 0
REN
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
CAT
1 - 2
CSM
4%
10%
87%
|
75 | 16 | 59 | 0 |