Cerrito vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
CSC
0 - 1
DEF
32%
27%
40%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
CSM
1 - 1
CSC
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 2
CSC
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
CSC
0 - 0
DAN
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
LFC
0 - 1
CSC
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 3
DAN
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
CSC
0 - 1
DEF
32%
27%
40%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 0
LFC
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
CSM
1 - 2
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
FEN
0 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |