Cerrito vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CSM
0 - 1
CSC
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CSC
3 - 2
HFC
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CSC
2 - 1
REN
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SUD
2 - 0
CSC
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 0
CSC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 0
ATE
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ATE
1 - 1
TOR
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 1
ATE
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HFC
2 - 0
ATE
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ATE
0 - 4
SUD
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |