Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
TOK
1 - 0
CER
44%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CER
1 - 1
FCT
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
FCI
3 - 4
CER
30%
26%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CER
1 - 0
KAA
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 1
CER
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 1
SHO
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
VIS
1 - 0
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 2
URA
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
VEN
0 - 1
MAC
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 2
KAW
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |