Céres vs Quissamã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SAM
3 - 0
CER
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CER
1 - 0
POR
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 3
CER
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
RBC
2 - 1
CER
25%
23%
51%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
CER
3 - 4
GOY
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Quissamã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 2
AFC
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
4 - 1
RBC
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FRI
1 - 1
QUI
43%
24%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 2
CFZ
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
QUI
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |