Céres vs Queimados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 1
CER
17%
18%
64%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CER
0 - 1
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
PER
2 - 1
CER
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
CER
1 - 0
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CER
2 - 0
PFC
54%
21%
24%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Queimados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 0
TIG
21%
24%
55%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAG
4 - 1
QUE
21%
19%
60%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ADC
3 - 3
QUE
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 0
BAR
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
TIG
4 - 6
QUE
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |