Céres vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CER
2 - 0
PFC
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
CER
57%
23%
21%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CER
2 - 1
CEC
39%
23%
39%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MAG
1 - 4
CER
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CER
2 - 0
BVI
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
BAR
24%
23%
52%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
CER
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 3
BAR
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
6 - 1
CDA
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MES
0 - 9
BAR
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |