CCD Cerceda vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
CER
28%
26%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CER
0 - 0
NEG
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RCV
3 - 2
CER
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
CER
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CER
1 - 3
BOU
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 2
CHO
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 0
DEP
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ORD
0 - 3
DEP
11%
20%
69%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 2
ARO
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |