Ceramica AC vs AE Garibaldi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceramica AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CRU
3 - 0
CAC
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
PAR
6 - 1
CAC
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
CAC
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
CAC
3 - 1
AIM
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAC
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AE Garibaldi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SAP
1 - 2
AEG
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
AEG
2 - 2
GLO
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 1
AEG
68%
19%
14%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
AEG
0 - 1
LAJ
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
AEG
0 - 3
AIM
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |