Centro Español vs Dep. Paraguayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
CES
1 - 2
CLA
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
JUU
1 - 1
CES
60%
22%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
ARR
33%
27%
41%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CES
1 - 2
ARM
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 1
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
DPA
0 - 0
CLA
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
DPA
0 - 0
JUU
25%
27%
48%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
ARM
2 - 0
DPA
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
DPA
0 - 3
PUE
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 0
DPA
69%
19%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |