Central SC vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 1
CEN
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POR
0 - 3
CEN
39%
25%
35%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PET
1 - 2
CEN
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 0
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
POR
45%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
SER
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
PES
1 - 0
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
CHA
49%
24%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SER
0 - 2
NAU
8%
15%
77%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |