Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
64.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
CEN
3 - 0
JAC
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
CEN
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
ASA
21%
26%
53%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ASA
3 - 3
CEN
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 1
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 3
FOR
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
NAU
0 - 1
TRE
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NAU
0 - 2
VCR
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LIM
2 - 0
NAU
7%
17%
76%
|
61 | 25 | 36 | 0 |