Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
75.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 0
CEN
84%
13%
3%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 0
FEC
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 0
CEN
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
CEN
25%
25%
49%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
NAU
4 - 0
UNI
84%
12%
3%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 2
OES
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 4
NAU
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |