Pernambucano 1 Grupo por el título. Jor. 4

Central SC vs Náutico analysis

Central SC Náutico
47 ELO 58
-12.8% Tilt -7.8%
5449º General ELO ranking 1609º
222º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
24%
Central SC
26.6%
Draw
49.4%
Náutico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
Central SC
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.4%
Win probability
Náutico
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Central SC
+7%
-1%
Náutico

ELO progression

Central SC
Náutico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Central SC
Central SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2015
CEN
Central SC
1 - 2
Santa Cruz
SAN
15%
23%
62%
47 64 17 0
08 Feb. 2015
SAL
Salgueiro
0 - 1
Central SC
CEN
56%
24%
20%
46 53 7 +1
01 Feb. 2015
CEN
Central SC
1 - 0
Serra Talhada
SER
46%
26%
28%
45 42 3 +1
29 Jan. 2015
CEN
Central SC
0 - 0
América PE
AME
67%
21%
12%
45 30 15 0
25 Jan. 2015
YPI
Ypiranga PE
1 - 1
Central SC
CEN
24%
26%
50%
46 33 13 -1

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2015
PIA
Piauí
0 - 2
Náutico
NAU
22%
25%
53%
58 41 17 0
14 Feb. 2015
MOT
Moto Club MA
3 - 1
Náutico
NAU
24%
26%
51%
59 44 15 -1
12 Feb. 2015
NAU
Náutico
4 - 0
Serra Talhada
SER
71%
18%
11%
58 44 14 +1
08 Feb. 2015
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 0
Náutico
NAU
67%
21%
12%
59 74 15 -1
05 Feb. 2015
NAU
Náutico
2 - 2
Salgueiro
SAL
61%
22%
17%
59 53 6 0
X