Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
CEN
48%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
CEN
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 0
CAB
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
VCR
3 - 1
CEN
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 2
SPO
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
ACA
85%
11%
5%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
CAB
0 - 1
NAU
8%
15%
77%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 2
NAU
8%
15%
77%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 1
SET
86%
11%
4%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |