Central Norte vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
2º
43
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
CEN
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 0
9DJ
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
CEN
18%
27%
55%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 2
CEN
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 0
SMA
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
9DJ
66%
22%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
SMA
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JAN
1 - 0
SMA
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 1
SMA
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |