Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SYD
3 - 2
CCM
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
WPH
1 - 2
CCM
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
CCM
0 - 1
BRI
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ADE
2 - 1
CCM
44%
28%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 2
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 1
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ADE
4 - 1
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
SYD
0 - 1
MEL
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 0
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |