Central C. Mariners U21 vs Sydney U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central C. Mariners U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GCU
3 - 6
CEN
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
CEN
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
BRI
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FFA
0 - 4
CEN
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
3 - 0
ADE
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sydney U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 2
FFA
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ADE
3 - 4
SYD
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 2
PER
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 1
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
19%
21%
61%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -2 |