Central C. Mariners U21 vs Adelaide United II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central C. Mariners U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
FFA
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
8 - 1
CEN
25%
22%
53%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -3 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WES
0 - 5
CEN
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FFA
1 - 3
CEN
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 3
MEL
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PER
5 - 2
ADE
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ADE
3 - 0
BRI
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 1
ADE
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
WES
68%
17%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ADE
3 - 2
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |