Centobuchi vs Morro d'Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centobuchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SDC
3 - 3
PRO
24%
27%
49%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
REC
3 - 0
SDC
55%
24%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SDC
0 - 2
CHI
31%
27%
43%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CSL
0 - 0
SDC
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SDC
2 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Morro d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MDC
2 - 0
CSL
22%
24%
55%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
MDC
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MDC
1 - 2
SRM
49%
24%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
UST
1 - 2
MDC
66%
20%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MDC
0 - 1
RCA
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |