Centenary Stormers vs Toowong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
45%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MGH
1 - 1
STO
37%
23%
41%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
STO
0 - 1
UNI
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
5 - 2
STO
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
TOO
0 - 2
STO
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BAY
2 - 0
STO
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toowong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GEO
4 - 1
TOO
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 1
TOO
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MGH
1 - 3
TOO
20%
19%
61%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOO
3 - 2
WES
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
TOO
0 - 2
STO
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |