Centella vs Cantera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATZ
2 - 1
CEN
25%
21%
54%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CEN
4 - 3
SNA
56%
19%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PVE
1 - 4
CEN
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 3
SPB
70%
15%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 2
CEN
58%
20%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cantera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 2
SJZ
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALU
1 - 1
CAN
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 3
LAG
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADL
0 - 3
CAN
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FOB
1 - 1
CAN
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |