CENE vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
54%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
CEN
0 - 2
BOT
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
VIT
6 - 0
CEN
93%
6%
1%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
CEN
0 - 0
VIT
7%
17%
76%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 1
UNI
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 0
UNI
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
COR
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
AME
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 2
UNI
35%
24%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |