Pref. Galicia Promotion knock-outs Final
Global 4-2
Céltiga FC vs UD Atios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
UDA
0 - 2
CEL
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
CEL
3 - 3
CDL
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CDL
0 - 2
CEL
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOA
1 - 3
CEL
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 1
CHO
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Atios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
UDA
0 - 2
CEL
35%
25%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
UDA
1 - 0
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
UDA
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
UDA
2 - 1
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CEN
2 - 1
UDA
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |