Céltiga FC vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 3
CEL
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
BAR
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 5
CEL
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALE
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PON
1 - 4
CEL
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
ARN
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 0
CHO
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 0
UDA
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CUL
0 - 3
CHO
37%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 3
RIB
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |