SPL Round 21

Celtic vs Livingston analysis

Celtic Livingston
83 ELO 70
13.3% Tilt 8.7%
454º General ELO ranking 524º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
74.7%
Celtic
16%
Draw
9.2%
Livingston

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
Celtic
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.2%
Win probability
Livingston
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+25%
+7%
Livingston

ELO progression

Celtic
Livingston
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2004
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
43%
26%
31%
83 83 0 0
18 Dec. 2004
CEL
Celtic
1 - 0
Dundee United
DUN
75%
16%
9%
83 71 12 0
12 Dec. 2004
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
28%
25%
48%
83 73 10 0
07 Dec. 2004
CEL
Celtic
0 - 0
Milan
ACM
14%
22%
64%
83 93 10 0
04 Dec. 2004
CEL
Celtic
2 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
70%
18%
12%
83 74 9 0

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2004
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 0
Livingston
LIV
50%
25%
25%
70 72 2 0
11 Dec. 2004
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 0
Livingston
LIV
60%
22%
19%
71 75 4 -1
04 Dec. 2004
LIV
Livingston
1 - 0
Dundee
DUN
45%
25%
29%
70 71 1 +1
27 Nov. 2004
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 3
Livingston
LIV
54%
24%
22%
69 72 3 +1
20 Nov. 2004
LIV
Livingston
0 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
42%
27%
32%
70 74 4 -1