UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 5-0
Celtic vs KR Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
SGD
1 - 1
CEL
21%
22%
58%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
KRR
0 - 1
CEL
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 0
DUK
66%
19%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
LAS
2 - 5
CEL
21%
22%
57%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
RAP
1 - 1
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
KR Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 4
KRR
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
KRR
0 - 1
CEL
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
THO
2 - 0
KRR
21%
24%
55%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 2
KRR
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
KRR
2 - 0
VIK
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |