SPL Round 25

Celtic vs Kilmarnock analysis

Celtic Kilmarnock
83 ELO 73
4.6% Tilt 14.6%
452º General ELO ranking 525º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Celtic
21.3%
Draw
14.1%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
Celtic
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.1%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Celtic
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2013
STM
St. Mirren
3 - 2
Celtic
CEL
23%
24%
53%
83 70 13 0
22 Jan. 2013
CEL
Celtic
4 - 0
Dundee United
DUN
52%
24%
24%
83 79 4 0
19 Jan. 2013
CEL
Celtic
4 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
61%
23%
16%
83 77 6 0
02 Jan. 2013
CEL
Celtic
1 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
60%
23%
18%
83 75 8 0
29 Dec. 2012
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 0
Celtic
CEL
20%
23%
56%
83 69 14 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2013
DUN
Dundee
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
27%
28%
45%
74 61 13 0
19 Jan. 2013
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Dundee United
DUN
39%
25%
36%
74 78 4 0
02 Jan. 2013
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
43%
27%
30%
74 71 3 0
29 Dec. 2012
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
54%
25%
22%
74 75 1 0
26 Dec. 2012
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
49%
26%
26%
74 78 4 0