Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
1º
1º
40
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 3
GLA
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 0
HIB
58%
20%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
STM
2 - 5
CEL
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
CEL
5 - 1
ABE
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
HIB
2 - 1
CEL
43%
24%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HOM
2 - 0
ROS
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
HIB
2 - 1
HOM
49%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
HOM
3 - 1
STM
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
STJ
1 - 2
HOM
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |