SPL Round 20

Celtic vs Gretna analysis

Celtic Gretna
83 ELO 65
3.7% Tilt 18.8%
450º General ELO ranking 19773º
Country ELO ranking 156º
ELO win probability
66.1%
Celtic
19.6%
Draw
14.3%
Gretna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
Celtic
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.3%
Win probability
Gretna
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Celtic
Gretna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2007
DUN
Dundee United
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
26%
25%
49%
83 74 9 0
22 Dec. 2007
CEL
Celtic
1 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
56%
23%
21%
83 80 3 0
16 Dec. 2007
ICT
Inverness CT
3 - 2
Celtic
CEL
29%
25%
46%
83 75 8 0
11 Dec. 2007
CEL
Celtic
4 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
65%
20%
15%
83 72 11 0
08 Dec. 2007
CEL
Celtic
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
72%
19%
10%
83 68 15 0

Matches

Gretna
Gretna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2007
GRE
Gretna
1 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
35%
27%
38%
65 81 16 0
22 Dec. 2007
DUN
Dundee United
1 - 2
Gretna
GRE
56%
24%
20%
65 74 9 0
15 Dec. 2007
KIL
Kilmarnock
3 - 3
Gretna
GRE
62%
21%
17%
65 75 10 0
01 Dec. 2007
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 0
Gretna
GRE
63%
21%
17%
65 74 9 0
25 Nov. 2007
GRE
Gretna
1 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
32%
27%
41%
65 83 18 0