SPL Round 3

Celtic vs Falkirk analysis

Celtic Falkirk
83 ELO 66
-7.2% Tilt -8.6%
452º General ELO ranking 435º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
80%
Celtic
13.5%
Draw
6.5%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
Celtic
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.5%
Win probability
Falkirk
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+22%
-2%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Celtic
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1920
CEL
Celtic
5 - 1
Queen's Park
QUE
59%
21%
20%
83 73 10 0
27 Sep. 1920
CEL
Celtic
3 - 0
Third Lanark
TLA
50%
24%
26%
83 83 0 0
25 Sep. 1920
CEL
Celtic
3 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
61%
21%
18%
83 73 10 0
20 Sep. 1920
HIB
Hibernian FC
0 - 3
Celtic
CEL
26%
25%
49%
83 65 18 0
11 Sep. 1920
CEL
Celtic
2 - 1
Hamilton Academical
HAM
75%
16%
10%
83 69 14 0

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1920
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
Ayr United
AYR
49%
23%
28%
66 73 7 0
02 Oct. 1920
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 3
Airdrieonians
AIR
39%
26%
36%
67 79 12 -1
25 Sep. 1920
MHE
Motherwell
4 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
84%
11%
5%
67 81 14 0
18 Sep. 1920
ALB
Albion Rovers
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
47%
24%
29%
68 61 7 -1
13 Sep. 1920
FAL
Falkirk
4 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
56%
22%
22%
67 70 3 +1