Celtic vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1976 |
HIB
2 - 0
CEL
49%
23%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
CEL
1 - 1
ABE
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
DUN
3 - 2
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
CEL
1 - 0
STJ
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
CEL
4 - 0
MHE
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1976 |
AYR
0 - 1
HOM
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
GLA
2 - 1
AYR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
AYR
1 - 0
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
AYR
1 - 1
ABE
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
DUN
1 - 2
AYR
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |