SPL Round 1

Celtic vs Ayr United analysis

Celtic Ayr United
83 ELO 69
15.2% Tilt -7.7%
450º General ELO ranking 849º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
74.4%
Celtic
14.2%
Draw
11.4%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
Celtic
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11.4%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+29%
-12%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Celtic
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 1932
CEL
Celtic
7 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
78%
13%
10%
83 67 16 0
24 Aug. 1932
CEL
Celtic
1 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
68%
17%
15%
83 79 4 0
20 Aug. 1932
HAM
Hamilton Academical
1 - 1
Celtic
CEL
51%
22%
27%
83 76 7 0
16 Aug. 1932
CEL
Celtic
4 - 2
Third Lanark
TLA
68%
16%
16%
83 74 9 0
13 Aug. 1932
CEL
Celtic
3 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
67%
17%
16%
83 78 5 0

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 1932
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
46%
21%
33%
68 78 10 0
24 Aug. 1932
AYR
Ayr United
4 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
87%
8%
4%
68 50 18 0
20 Aug. 1932
GLA
Rangers
4 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
73%
15%
12%
69 83 14 -1
13 Aug. 1932
AYR
Ayr United
4 - 3
Queen's Park
QUE
57%
19%
24%
68 70 2 +1
02 Apr. 1932
AYR
Ayr United
5 - 0
Clyde
CLY
58%
19%
23%
67 70 3 +1