UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 3-2
Celtic vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
LIV
0 - 0
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
64%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 3
CEL
67%
18%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
KIL
0 - 1
CEL
24%
25%
52%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
CEL
3 - 0
STJ
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 1
RJC
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 3
CEL
67%
18%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
AJA
5 - 1
AZA
75%
15%
11%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
TWE
1 - 3
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 2
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |