UCL Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Celtic vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
KIL
1 - 4
CEL
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
CWB
1 - 5
CEL
20%
28%
53%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
CEL
83%
11%
7%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1971 |
HOM
1 - 1
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
CEL
4 - 1
AIR
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
CEL
83%
11%
7%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
TEL
0 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
AJA
4 - 0
VOL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
AJA
5 - 1
GAE
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |