Lowland Football League Scotland Round 29

Celtic II vs Berwick Rangers analysis

Celtic II Berwick Rangers
49 ELO 41
5.5% Tilt 14%
3014º General ELO ranking 6983º
34º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
67%
Celtic II
18.9%
Draw
14.1%
Berwick Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
Celtic II
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14.1%
Win probability
Berwick Rangers
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic II
+14%
+6%
Berwick Rangers

Points and table prediction

Celtic II
Their league position
Berwick Rangers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
16º
42
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
81
81
100%
Hearts II
69
69
100%
Bo'ness United
67
67
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
65
65
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
60
60
100%
Celtic II
59
59
100%
Civil Service Strollers
56
56
100%
Linlithgow Rose
50
50
100%
Albion Rovers
46
49
20%
Stirling University
11º
46
49
10º
20.5%
Cowdenbeath
10º
46
46
11º
70.5%
Caledonian Braves
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Berwick Rangers
13º
42
42
13º
100%
East Stirlingshire
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Broomhill FC
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
12
12
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Celtic II
Berwick Rangers
100% 100%

ELO progression

Celtic II
Berwick Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic II
Celtic II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
3 - 4
Celtic II
CFC
12%
18%
70%
48 29 19 0
03 Feb. 2024
CFC
Celtic II
3 - 1
Bo'ness United
BON
57%
22%
22%
46 43 3 +2
27 Jan. 2024
LIN
Linlithgow Rose
2 - 2
Celtic II
CFC
45%
23%
32%
46 45 1 0
13 Jan. 2024
AFC
AFC Edinburgh University
1 - 3
Celtic II
CFC
6%
12%
82%
46 9 37 0
10 Jan. 2024
GRE
Gretna 2008
3 - 3
Celtic II
CFC
12%
15%
74%
46 20 26 0

Matches

Berwick Rangers
Berwick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
69%
18%
14%
42 30 12 0
10 Feb. 2024
STI
Stirling University
0 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
62%
21%
17%
40 46 6 +2
27 Jan. 2024
BER
Berwick Rangers
4 - 0
Broomhill FC
BFC
46%
23%
31%
38 38 0 +2
13 Jan. 2024
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 0
Civil Service Strollers
CIV
29%
24%
47%
36 43 7 +2
06 Jan. 2024
TRA
Tranent Juniors FC
0 - 1
Berwick Rangers
BER
78%
15%
8%
35 50 15 +1