Celta vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 2
UDL
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 2
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 1
VAD
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 2
ELC
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
VAD
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 1
ELC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 1
VAD
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VAD
1 - 3
MUR
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 1
VAD
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |