Celta vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EIB
0 - 1
CEL
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
6 - 1
RAY
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
CEL
33%
28%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCB
9%
17%
75%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LEV
0 - 1
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
75%
15%
9%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
RMA
3 - 1
MAL
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 0
RMA
27%
23%
50%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
RMA
3 - 0
EIB
94%
5%
1%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 2
RMA
11%
17%
72%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |